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posted by Gunpowder Chronicle on Friday, March 14 2008 @ 10:06 PM
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There is a basic rule in microeconomics called the elasticity of price.  As the price increases, demand will decrease.  So it comes as no surprise to a sane human being not suffering from craniorectal inversion that increasing the tax on cigarettes by $1 a pack would cause a decrease in sales.

The Baltimore Business Journal covers this man-bites-dog story here, featuring Maryland Line's own "Fill Er Up" convenience store, hippie joint and gas station.

Of course, the incredible irony here is that increased cigarette taxes were part of the plan to cover more uninsured Marylanders -- especially the children.  Now, because of declining sales, that money will not be available.

Whoops.

But that is not the worst part.  A lot of those stores -- primarily convenience stores -- depend up on cigarette and tobacco sales to drive sales of other higher-margin products like soda, milk, snacks, etc.  Guess what?  If people aren't coming in for their Marlboros, they also aren't coming in for the other stuff.  That means the state takes two other big hits.

Sales tax and corporate tax.

You think that $300 million decline in tax revenue over 16 months was big, wait until the trickle down effect of the cigarette tax works its magic.

Doesn't anyone in Annapolis study economics anymore?  You can't get blood from a stone, even a Blarney Stone.

But fear not.  I will continue to smoke my cigars -- the only item I still purchase in Maryland -- for the children.


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By TomCat @ Saturday, March 15, 2008 4:32 PM
It is a pity that our law makers don't even understand Economics 101. I was a huge Ross Perot fan. He predicted that all of this would happen. His slogan was "United We Stand America" it was adopted as a popular slogan after 9/11.
By sj @ Wednesday, April 02, 2008 1:39 PM
There's not enough information in the article to determine if demand is relatively elastic or relatively inelastic. Demand would be relatively inelastic if the increase in per pack revenue outweighs the loss in packs sold; elastic if it does not. If demand is relatively inelastic, the state would still come out ahead. In other words, if ten packs are sold when the tax is $1 per pack and seven packs are sold when the tax is $2 per pack, demand is relatively (key word) inelastic because the net revenue goes up ($14>$10) and the state wins. Demand is relatively elastic if only four packs are sold at $2 per pack ($8<$10). I don't see that analysis in the BBJ article.
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